WAR MONITOR All Briefings WW3 Risk
Intelligence Briefing · July 13, 2026

Iran-US Tensions Spike | Gaza Ceasefire Collapses | Taiwan Drills Escalate

Threat Level: EXTREME · 9/10
Ukraine High

Russia Steps Up Missile Strikes on Ukrainian Energy Grid

Russia's latest missile strike on Ukraine's energy grid has left 4 million civilians without power, marking a significant escalation in the conflict. This attack is part of a broader pattern of Russian aggression, which has seen a 30% increase in military operations over the past quarter. The Ukrainian military has reported that it has repelled several Russian attacks in the Donbas region, but the situation remains volatile.

Sources: BBC News
Iran High

Iran-US Tensions Escalate Over Red Sea Missile Strikes

An Iranian-backed Houthi missile strike on a US carrier group in the Red Sea has sparked a significant escalation in tensions between Iran and the US. The Pentagon has confirmed that its defensive systems intercepted several missiles, but the incident highlights the growing risk of miscalculation in the region. The US has warned Iran that any further attacks on its interests will be met with 'swift and decisive action'.

Sources: Al Jazeera
Taiwan High

Taiwan Strait Tension Reaches 18-Month High

The People's Liberation Army (PLA) has conducted live-fire exercises just 40km from the median line in the Taiwan Strait, marking a significant escalation in tensions between China and Taiwan. The Taiwanese military has reported that it has scrambled jets and activated its missile defense systems in response to the PLA's actions. This incident highlights the growing risk of conflict in the region, as China continues to pressure Taiwan to accept its 'one country, two systems' framework.

Middle East High

Gaza Ceasefire Collapses Amid Renewed Fighting

A fragile ceasefire between Israel and Palestinian militants in Gaza has collapsed, with both sides reporting renewed fighting in the region. The Israeli military has reported that it has struck several Hamas targets in response to rocket fire from Gaza, while Palestinian militants have vowed to continue their resistance against Israeli occupation. This incident highlights the ongoing risk of conflict in the region, as tensions between Israel and the Palestinians remain high.

Sources: Haaretz
North Korea High

North Korea Conducts Ballistic Missile Test

North Korea has conducted a ballistic missile test, sparking concerns about the country's nuclear program. The test is part of a broader pattern of North Korean aggression, which has seen a significant increase in military operations over the past year. The US and its allies have condemned the test, with the US Ambassador to the UN calling it 'a clear and present threat to regional and global security'.

Sources: CNN
Cybersecurity High

Rising Cyber Threats Pose Significant Risk to Global Security

The global cybersecurity landscape is becoming increasingly hostile, with a significant rise in cyber threats against critical infrastructure and government targets. This trend highlights the growing risk of cyber attacks on global security, as nation-state actors and non-state actors seek to exploit vulnerabilities in the digital realm. The threat level is high, and governments and private sector organizations must take proactive steps to mitigate this risk.

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Published July 13, 2026. How threat levels are calculated.